Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 134.545120 153.462411 174.423095 199.427852 228.519792 261.387753 301.459060
2025-12-21 108.785866 133.613877 163.499038 202.347178 251.839640 313.219907 395.781396
2025-12-28 96.020330 124.367867 160.595840 210.759663 279.154948 370.209373 502.382587
2026-01-04 85.750770 115.860240 156.230208 215.066818 299.882955 419.659283 605.090909
2026-01-11 76.080116 106.456859 148.844870 213.343896 310.834507 455.674985 692.857492
2026-01-18 70.289314 101.537536 146.762875 218.370671 331.487948 507.757640 812.248740
2026-01-25 64.126116 95.237910 141.725197 217.955099 343.187050 546.864786 916.164833
2026-02-01 59.565877 90.774550 138.815614 220.231243 359.042891 594.227940 1041.076891
2026-02-08 54.276446 84.590339 132.483421 216.033866 363.249153 621.944001 1134.630001
2026-02-15 50.870969 81.049107 129.965214 217.787147 377.694086 669.196567 1272.161350
2026-02-22 47.957065 78.010557 127.919777 220.008146 393.041172 719.843226 1424.590131
2026-03-01 44.093299 73.015325 122.057715 214.712579 393.641854 742.231163 1522.161666
2026-03-08 40.705817 68.836828 117.728432 212.732552 402.304607 785.690680 1682.723302
2026-03-15 38.324594 66.238193 116.013126 215.625211 421.375700 854.341956 1917.227881
2026-03-22 37.012419 65.409995 117.397106 224.645257 454.256840 957.955061 2258.960927
2026-03-29 35.257450 63.574746 116.666028 229.271173 478.429831 1046.481027 2585.223306
2026-04-05 32.923518 60.415487 113.044279 227.420239 487.977891 1102.751528 2840.855519
2026-04-12 31.601987 59.078850 112.858061 232.820703 514.813946 1205.388720 3251.454590
2026-04-19 29.799919 56.625706 110.164357 232.374195 527.776548 1275.703592 3587.588946
2026-04-26 28.432403 54.921080 108.837487 234.819866 548.130648 1369.019129 4020.325600
2026-05-03 26.559157 52.018976 104.712225 230.310042 550.362008 1413.991574 4311.777391
2026-05-10 25.387462 50.479596 103.364166 232.193744 569.396770 1509.495086 4801.153000
2026-05-17 24.343545 49.121431 102.280305 234.580142 590.157319 1614.188262 5356.358269